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Preview of The Grand Exchange - Does Jagex Learn From Its Mistakes? My Concerns Over Potential Abuses
Im quite concerned that with
the Grand Exchange (GE), Jagex may follow a path it has gone down many
times before: spending lots of time on slick interfaces and fancy features,
and not nearly enough on playtesting, adjusting and managing the feature.
Many RuneScape players are smart and creative, and many of those are
selfish and amoral. Unless Jagex has really done its homework in terms
of anticipating and preventing potential abuses, these black hats
will waste no time in exploiting the GE for negative purposes.
Here are some of the specific concerns
I have:
Internet Connection Bias: A long time
ago when I was a lower-level player, I used to like to hang out in the
general store in Varrock on busy worlds trying to buy items that were
sold to the shop when they had good prices. The problem was that I never
got the items because I was on dial-up and other people had faster connections.
I can see this being a problem with the GE, depending on how it is implemented.
Price Manipulation: Some players, especially
in low-volume markets, are going to try to raise or lower the prices
of items by listing items for sale or purchase well above or below the
going rate. Jagex needs to put some sort of mechanism in place to deal
with this; for example, the GE could refuse to list for sale any item
that the player doesnt own. At the very least, Jagex should put
in place a rule against deliberately trying to move prices around.
Collusion: I have already read comments
from some of the less scrupulous merchants in the game that they are
going to try to collude to move the market prices on certain high-ticket
items. While this usually wont work in such a large market, it
is still a potential issue. Collusion is very detrimental to free markets
and Jagex must make clear that it wont be tolerated, watch for
it, and punish those who try it.
Auction Abuses: If auctions are permitted
in the GE, there are a whole host of potential abuses to watch for,
such as shill bids (sellers using friends to drive the price up), hidden
charges and so forth. If youve ever used eBay you know that they
have a long list of rules about what is and isnt acceptable conduct,
and thats for good reason.
Second Bank Account Abuse:
Many people have already commented on how they could use the GE as a
second bank account by taking items they rarely use and
listing them for sale at ridiculous prices so they stay there forever.
This is part of why I think a listing fee is a good idea, as well as
time limits on items put on the exchange.
Rule 8 Violations: The GE has the potential
to act as an easy vehicle for players to transfer items between accounts.
While this could be tracked by the company, with thousands of transactions
taking place every hour it would seem to be difficult to get them all.
Macroing: Just as RuneScape fought a losing
battle for years against bots buying things from shops, it is now going
to have a similar problem with the GE: bots that scan item listings
and snap up everything that appears for a low price. Jagex must
put into effect some method to stop this from occurring.
Again here, the devil is in
the details. How much of an issue these abuses will be depends
on exactly how Jagex implements the GE. I really hope that they have
anticipated and taken proactive steps against these and other potential
exploits of this new system.